Notes

Consider Buying:

F
JPM
C


Consider Selling:

NOK (?)
FTR
UCO (if trend breaks downwards)

Emerging markets? (FXI, EEM/VWO)

Market continued drop

Wow, this is a bigger drop than I thought it'll be. Its crashed through a couple support points already.

Momentum is still heavily negative and haven't shown signs of rebounding yet. No buys without a hedge plan. Wait for indicators to turn more positive.

Market Momentum Slowing

Hm, several indicators have started to show significant slowing of momentum.

Its not quite yet showing a reversal but be on guard for it. Pretty significant run up lately too so hopefully a quick dip down will provide some buying opportunity.

Trend Upwards

Market trending upwards for about a week now. Several indicators crossed over last week. Time to buy some more and hope for a bottom?

Some ideas:

Sell IEF: at profit right now but will drop if market rises.

C: Good potential, 20% if it hits its old levels.

GE: Hasn't taken off yet but indicators have turned green. Isn't far from its bottom either so potential good returns. Option play...? (again).

GOOG: Same as GE but since already purchased, don't want to add any more for now?

EEM/EWZ: These has increased a lot since their lows. Only 10% if it returns to its previous highs. Not too much upside honestly, sorta disappointing.

UCO: Strong strong technicals. Still potential for 40% return if it goes to old highs. Maybe add small position?

VZ: Increased pretty strong, looks like it can break the 30 barrier, just closed above 50 dma. Do i want to add more though consider all the losses I've had on it?

VZ?

So I guess I should have sold a lot more than I actually did!

Oh well...

VZ definitely looks interesting...looks like its bottomed and may be a good opportunity for a several month long call (again).

C hasn't stopped dropping yet but looks prime for a reversal soon.

China

So indicators are starting to point to a drop in China real estate bubble.

Consider buying:

FXI Put - Nov, 37/38 (3.55/4.00)? or 2x 35 (2.74)

Might have to look at getting out of my EEM/VWO/FXI and other internationals soon if this is going to be the case.

Also consider: UCO if it drops a bit more and levels out.

Bond ETFs

http://dividendsvalue.com/5983/increasing-dividend-yield-part-iv-bonds/

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV) – Yield: 5.16%
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF seeks to track the performance of a market-weighted bond index with a long-term dollar-weighted average maturity. It maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity consistent with that of the Index, which generally ranges between 15 and 30 years.
- Total Assets: $2.9 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.14%
- Holdings: 40% US Corporate, 39% US Treasury, 8% Foreign Corp, 5% Foreign Govt, 8% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) – Yield 4.32%
The investment seeks to track the performance of a market-weighted bond index with an intermediate-term dollar-weighted average maturity.The fund maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity consistent with that of the index ranging between 5 and 10 years.
- Total Assets: $9.8 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.14%
- Holdings: 45% US Treasury, 37% US Corporate, 9% Foreign Corp, 5% Foreign Govt, 9% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF (BSV) – Yield: 2.74%
The investment seeks to track the performance of a market-weighted bond index with a short-term dollar-weighted average maturity. The fund’s dollar-weighted average maturity is not expected to exceed 3 years
- Total Assets: $9.8 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.14%
- Holdings: 52% US Treasury, 24% US Corporate, 14% US Agency, 8% Foreign Corp, 2% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) – Yield: 3.98%
The investment seeks to track the performance of a broad, market-weighted bond index. The fund maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity consistent with that of the index, ranging between 5 and 10 years.
- Total Assets: $68.8 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.14%
- Holdings: 33% Mtg Pass-thru, 29% US Treasury, 19% US Corporate, 7% US Agency, 12% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

Invest Grade Corp Bond (LQD) – Yield: 5.44%
The investment seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the iBoxx $ Liquid Investment Grade index. The fund typically invests at least 90% of assets in the bonds of the underlying index, and at least 95% of assets in investment-grade corporate bonds.
- Total Assets: $12.2 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.15%
- Holdings: 82% US Corporate, 18% Foreign Corp, 0% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

Emerging Mkts Sovereign Debt (PCY) – Yield: 6.44%
The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before fees and expensed) of an index called the DB Emerging Market USD Liquid Balanced index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of total assets in emerging markets U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds.
- Total Assets: $520.3 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.50%
- Holdings: 80% Foreign Govt, 20% Other
- Distributions: Monthly

20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) – Yield 3.95%
The investment seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond index. The fund generally invests at least 90% of assets in the bonds of the underlying index.
- Total Assets: $2.4 billion
- Expense Ratio: 0.15%
- Holdings: 100% US Treasury
- Distributions: Monthly